Quantcast

Embraer forecasts demand for over ten thousand small commercial aircraft by 2043

Airline Stocks To Keep An Eye On - April 28th
Report: JetBlue, United Mulling Partnership
New First-Class Suites, Futuristic Aircraft and the Top Air Travel News From April 2025
Southwest Airlines Announces Reimagined Fare Products, New Benefits for Rapid Rewards Credit Cardmembers and Tier Member Customers
United CEO calls Trump's tariffs a 'chess game'
Flight tickets from Srinagar remain exorbitantly high despite aviation ministry request
RTX Q1 Earnings & Sales Beat Estimates, Increase Year Over Year
Delta faces federal investigation as it scraps hundreds of flights for fifth straight day
Coalition pledges to remove EV tax break two days after Dutton ruled out scrapping it – as it happened
Adani’s airport unit seeks $750 million loan from global banks
GE Aerospace affirms outlook; CEO met with Trump to discuss tariffs
Flight made emergency landing in Denver after reported animal strike and engine fire
General Dynamics says G800 jet receives FAA, EASA certifications
Archer unveils plans for NYC air-taxi network in partnership with United Airlines
United Airlines doubles down on Chicago roots with new O'Hare billboards
ICAO Proposes ‘Journey Pass’ Biometric ID Boarding
Gatwick airport strikes, Easter 2025: will my flight be cancelled?
Boarding passes and check-in could be scrapped in air travel shake-up
European air traffic warning means summer delays for holidaymakers
The EU rule change that could affect millions of Brits when their flight is delayed or cancelled
Delta Earnings Land Soon. Why They’re Key for Airline Stocks and the Economy.
Avelo Airlines to Operate Deportation Flights, Hiring Flight Attendants
Travel chaos 2025: all the strikes and disruption expected across Europe
Qatar Airways accelerates Starlink wifi implementation
Southwest Airlines extends flight schedule through early April 2025
Cathay Pacific reaches 3,400 pilots this year, with low resignation rate of 2.9%
Qatar Airways Nears Boeing 777 Fleet-Wide Starlink Upgrade
United receives FAA approval for first Starlink-equipped planes
50 New Routes Launching In April 2025
Qantas launches mammoth Asia flight sale including Bali and Japan
Embraer forecasts demand for over ten thousand small commercial aircraft by 2043
Research
Webp qj5munmfs624bdp2bm4w8syr8zw8
Joe Petrie Editor & Chief | AviationPros

Embraer has published Market Outlook 2024, its 20-year forecast for commercial aircraft deliveries in the sub-150-seat category. The report was presented at a press briefing during the Farnborough International Airshow.

Market Outlook 2024 estimates 10,500 orders for new jets and turboprops through 2043. It also presents analyses of global influences and trends in six world regions that impact the demand for new aircraft.

The relevance of the small narrowbody category is increasing. Larger aircraft are not always economically or operationally optimal for medium and lower-density markets, particularly when multiple daily frequencies are essential for those cities to stay well-connected. Fleets with these aircraft benefit when complemented by smaller narrowbodies in the sub-150-seat segment. Small narrowbodies go where bigger jets cannot, do so more frequently, and usually more profitably. As the average aircraft size in key world regions increases, a reflection of the strong orderbook for 200-seat narrowbodies, it becomes clear that a mixed fleet of small and large narrowbodies is the best way to serve the diverse characteristics of an airline network.

Get the Newsletter
Sign-up to receive weekly round up of news from Sky Industry News
By submitting, you agree to our Privacy Policy and Terms of Service. By providing your phone number you are opting in and consenting to receive recurring SMS/MMS messages, including automated texts, to that number from our short code. Msg & data rates may apply. Reply HELP for help, STOP to end. SMS opt-in will not be sold, rented, or shared.

Arjan Meijer, Embraer’s President & CEO of Commercial Aviation, said, “A mix fleet of sub-150-seat jets and larger narrowbodies will be the successful fleet strategy for the next 20 years. The post-pandemic environment is different in so many ways. The business/leisure passenger mix is different. Demand patterns are different. The corporate workplace is different. And e-commerce is booming. Carriers are adding capacity in big markets, yet smaller cities still need to stay well-connected to airline networks with high frequency air service. We believe aircraft in the sub-150-seat category are the most efficient and cost-effective to address that need.”

The Market Outlook also contains analysis of the cargo aircraft market and cites new opportunities for small-narrowbody freighters resulting from the projected growth in online commerce.

Highlights of the 20-Year Commercial Market Outlook – By the Numbers

World passenger traffic, measured in revenue passenger kilometers (RPKs), has returned to 2019 levels except for the Asia Pacific/China region. RPKs are forecast to grow 4% annually through 2043.

Annual RPK regional growth rate – ranked

5.0% Asia Pacific (includes China)

4.9% Latin America

4.4% Africa

4.4% Middle East

3.3% Europe

2.4% North America

RPK share by the end of 2043

38% Asia Pacific

38% Europe + North America

Global demand for new aircraft up to 150 seats

10,500 units

8,470 jets

2,030 turboprops

Market value of all new aircraft

USD 640 billion

Jet deliveries - 8,470 (% share) – by region

2,610 North America (30.8%)

2,260 China & Asia Pacific (26.7%)

2,110 Europe & CIS (24.9%)

770 Latin America (9.1%)

380 Africa (4.5%)

340 Middle East (4%)

Turboprop deliveries - 2,030 (% share) – by region

980 China & Asia Pacific (48.3%)

350 North America (17.2%)

290 Europe & CIS (14.3%)

220 Africa (10.8%)

160 Latin America (7.9%)

30 Middle East (1.5%)

Download the complete Embraer 2024 Market Outlook at www .embraercommercialaviation.com/marketoutlook  

Organizations Included in this History
More News

Airports across the United States will no longer require passengers to remove their shoes during security checks.

Jul 12, 2025

London will soon have direct flights to Dammam, Saudi Arabia.

Jul 12, 2025

Delta Air Lines is experiencing a busy summer season in 2025, with flight schedules filled at major hubs.

Jul 12, 2025

Customers have various options when flying, including economy and business class.

Jul 12, 2025

Textron Aviation is set to showcase its largest lineup at the 2025 Experimental Aircraft Association (EAA) AirVenture fly-in show in Oshkosh, Wisconsin.

Jul 12, 2025

Investigators are examining the engine fuel control switches of an Air India Boeing 787-8 following a crash that resulted in 241 fatalities onboard and 29 on the ground.

Jul 12, 2025