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Gulfstream faces slow start with fewer-than-expected G700 deliveries

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Gulfstream faces slow start with fewer-than-expected G700 deliveries
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Aviation International News | Aviation International News

Gulfstream Aerospace, based in Savannah, Georgia, delivered fewer G700 aircraft than expected in the second quarter of 2024. This comes as the company addresses a last-minute modification issue. The ultra-long-range G700 model received FAA certification at the end of the first quarter, with EASA approval following in mid-May.

In April, Gulfstream delivered its first two G700s and by early June had delivered a total of eight units. Aircraft brokerage Hagerty Jet Group reported that some aircraft remain in Savannah. "In April, General Dynamics reported that they will hand over 50 or more G700s by the end of the year...which seems a bit optimistic considering that we just turned the corner on the second half of the year," stated Hagerty.

Analyst firm Baird confirmed these figures and suggested earnings may shift to later in the year. "We are surprised by the slower-than-anticipated start for G700 deliveries with so many airframes on the tarmac ready to be handed over to customers," said Baird analyst Peter Arment. He noted that their 2Q24 EPS estimates were reduced by $0.28 to $3.02, below the consensus of $3.34.

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Hagerty also mentioned visible modifications taking place on several G700s in Savannah: “If you travel to Savannah, it’s hard to miss the dozen or so G700s on the ramp near the air traffic control tower.” These planes reportedly lack horizontal stabilizers due to FAA-mandated changes requiring modification. Hagerty noted that further details from Gulfstream have not been forthcoming: “We know that many of them will have their bottoms repainted in addition to some bonding work to the tails, but additional details are vague.”

In parallel, Hagerty has monitored activity within the preowned market for Gulfstream's G650 model since G700 deliveries began. Supply has remained stable with ten transactions traced and five pending out of 22 available models. This represents about 3% of all fleets available on this market segment; prices for older models have fallen below $30 million—a level last seen during late 2020's pandemic period.

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