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William A. Ampofo II Chair, Supply Chain Operations Council Vice President, Parts & Distribution Services and Supply Chain, Boeing Global Services | Boeing

Boeing has projected that air cargo traffic will experience significant growth over the next two decades, doubling by 2043. The company's 2024 World Air Cargo Forecast (WACF) indicates an average annual increase of 4% in air cargo traffic. This projection reflects a strong recovery from pre-pandemic levels.

Darren Hulst, Boeing's vice president of Commercial Marketing, commented on the trend: "As the quickest and most reliable way to move goods, air cargo's sustained growth has returned the industry to its long-term trend." He highlighted several factors driving this demand, including emerging markets' expansion and global manufacturing and e-commerce growth.

According to the forecast, the global air cargo fleet is expected to expand significantly, rising to 3,900 airplanes by 2043. This marks a two-thirds increase from the current fleet of 2,340 freighters in 2023. Notably, demand in high-growth Asian markets is anticipated to nearly double the large widebody freighter fleet. Additionally, nearly half of new production and conversion deliveries are intended to replace older models with more efficient aircraft due to evolving market needs.

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The report identifies East and South Asian markets as key areas for traffic growth due to their expanding economies and consumer demand. The Asia-Pacific region's fleet is expected to nearly triple in size, necessitating substantial deliveries of new aircraft. Together with North America, these regions will account for over two-thirds of global deliveries.

India's domestic air cargo market is predicted to almost quadruple as express services and e-commerce networks grow. Express carriers are expected to capture a larger share of the market, increasing from 18% currently to one quarter by 2043. Their role in e-commerce distribution and network expansion in emerging markets positions them for faster-than-average industry growth.

The full details of Boeing's projections can be accessed through their complete 2024 World Air Cargo Forecast available online at www.boeing.com/wacf.

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