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Boeing forecasts doubling of air cargo market by year-end of decade

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Boeing forecasts doubling of air cargo market by year-end of decade
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Boeing has released projections indicating significant growth in the air cargo market over the next two decades. According to Boeing's 2024 World Air Cargo Forecast, the industry is expected to grow by 4% annually until 2043, driven largely by emerging markets.

Darren Hulst, Vice President of Commercial Marketing at Boeing, commented on these projections: "As the quickest and most reliable way to move goods, air cargo's sustained growth has returned the industry to its long-term trend. There will be many drivers for continued freighter demand over the next 20 years, including expansion of emerging markets and global growth in manufacturing and e-commerce."

The forecast anticipates a total delivery of 2,845 freighter aircraft by 2043. This includes 1,005 new production freighters and 1,840 conversions from passenger to cargo aircraft. The projected deliveries are broken down into standard-body (1,250), medium-widebody (785), and large-widebody (810) freighters.

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Boeing currently offers several models that cater to this growing market. These include converted freighters like the Boeing 737 BCF and Boeing 767-300 BCF with payload capacities of 21.5 tons and 51.6 tons respectively. Other models include the Boeing 767-300 Freighter and Boeing 777 Freighter with payloads of up to 52.4 tons and 102 tons respectively. The latest addition is the Boeing 777-8 Freighter which can carry up to 112.3 tons.

The report also predicts an increase in the global air cargo fleet by more than 1,500 aircrafts reaching approximately 3,900 by mid-century—a two-thirds increase from current numbers.

High-growth regions such as Asia are expected to see substantial increases in their widebody fleets while Asian-Pacific carriers will require nearly a thousand new deliveries followed closely by North America needing around nine hundred fifty-five units.

Boeing foresees continuous annual growth rates driven primarily through burgeoning markets across East & South Asia where traffic is anticipated highest alongside India's expanding express services quadrupling their reach potentially capturing one-quarter share versus today's eighteen percent stake within sector dynamics overall.

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