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Study reveals wider impact zone for thunderstorm-induced turbulence

Study reveals wider impact zone for thunderstorm-induced turbulence
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Turbulence can affect aircraft up to 55 miles from thunderstorms, a distance that exceeds the Federal Aviation Administration's (FAA) current guideline of 20 miles. This new finding may lead to updates in aviation safety standards. The research, published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, analyzed data from 200 million turbulence measurements collected between 2009 and 2017 over US airspace.

Dr. Stacey Hitchcock from the University of Oklahoma commented on the findings, noting that "the probability of turbulence is still significantly above average up to 55 miles away from the storm." Current FAA guidelines require pilots to maintain a distance of at least 20 horizontal miles from thunderstorms. The study highlights that flying within three miles of a thunderstorm increases severe turbulence risk by nearly 20 times.

Recent incidents underline the importance of these findings. A Lufthansa Boeing 747-8 encountered turbulent weather on a flight from Buenos Aires to Frankfurt, resulting in minor injuries to five passengers and six crew members. Another case involved an American Airlines flight returning to São Paulo after severe turbulence caused multiple injuries.

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The National Transportation Safety Board reported 123 incidents involving injuries due to turbulence between 2009 and 2018, with few passengers wearing seat belts at the time. This supports FAA advice for passengers to keep seat belts fastened during flights.

Airlines are adjusting their procedures in response. Southwest Airlines has modified its landing preparation practices, now beginning at altitudes as high as 18,000 feet instead of the previous standard of 10,000 feet. Other airlines might follow suit as climate change is expected to worsen turbulence by disrupting jet streams.

Paul Williams, an atmospheric science professor at the University of Reading, stated that climate change exacerbates Clear Air Turbulence (CAT), which is difficult for radar detection but detectable through radio wave scattering studies using sensitive microwave radars.

Despite potential changes in FAA storm avoidance rules being complex due to high traffic density areas requiring extensive rerouting, Dr. Hitchcock suggested a simple measure: "Maybe we just need to put the seatbelt sign on a little earlier."

Some global regions experience more turbulence due to topographical factors and extreme climates, such as mountain ranges like the Andes and Alps or areas prone to tornadoes formed by supercell thunderstorms.

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