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Air Force general states AI-piloted fighter jets remain far from reality

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Air Force general states AI-piloted fighter jets remain far from reality
Policy
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The future of military aviation continues to spark debate as advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and autonomous systems develop. Brigadier General Doug Wickert, commander of the 412th Test Wing, which is responsible for developing AI piloting technology, has expressed skepticism about the immediate replacement of human pilots with AI in combat roles. According to Defense News, Wickert stated, “There may be someday we can completely rely on robotized warfare, [but] it is centuries away.”

Despite significant progress in drone technology over recent years, experts maintain that these unmanned systems are not yet capable of replacing manned fighter jets entirely. The Air Force's sixth-generation Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) program's future now depends on decisions from the Trump administration.

The 412th Test Wing is currently experimenting with autonomous pilots through its X-62A VISTA platform—a modified F-16 Fighting Falcon operated by AI technology. Although these advanced systems show promise, they face challenges bridging the gap between digital simulations and real-world applications. Wickert noted that during flight tests, AI pilots sometimes make "unexpected" choices.

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Citing Wickert again, Defense News reported that "the [412th Test Wings'] base will house the Air Force’s CCA drones for testing—likely next year—once the two contractors, General Atomics and Anduril, finish their prototypes." While the AI software developed through the VISTA program will not be directly applied to Collaborative Combat Aircraft (CCA), it will influence future developments.

Current unmanned aerial vehicles like Project Venom's autonomous F-16s and Northrop Grumman's X-47A Pegasus illustrate advances but also highlight limitations. These systems often struggle with complex battlefield scenarios and ethical considerations regarding decision-making autonomy.

General Mark Kelly of Air Combat Command emphasized the importance of controlling the electromagnetic spectrum: “If we lose the war in the electromagnetic spectrum, we lose the war in the air.” This sentiment underscores concerns about vulnerabilities such as jamming communications essential for drone operations.

The distinction between manned and unmanned aircraft is becoming increasingly blurred. Some aircraft are designed to be optionally manned or incorporate varying levels of autonomy. For example, while a drone might scout autonomously for targets, it could still require human authorization to engage them.

In summary, while drones are crucial to modern warfare strategies alongside traditional manned fighters like the F-35 Lightning II—a sophisticated stealthy flying supercomputer—the full transition to AI-piloted combat remains a distant prospect.

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