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Asia-Pacific leads global airline recovery amid ongoing supply chain concerns

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Asia-Pacific leads global airline recovery amid ongoing supply chain concerns
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In November, the Association of Asia Pacific Airlines (AAPA) convened its 68th Assembly of the Presidents in Brunei. Leaders from major airlines in the region discussed moving past the COVID-19 pandemic, although supply chain disruptions remain a concern. The airlines have largely recovered and are optimistic about growth prospects for 2025.

The AAPA compiles international passenger traffic data from 38 Asia-Pacific airlines each month. These airlines include Singapore Airlines, Air India, China Southern, Japan Airlines, Thai Airways, Air Astana, Lion Air, Bangkok Airways, Cathay Pacific, Qantas, Royal Brunei, Malaysia Airlines, All Nippon Airways and Vietnam Airlines.

Recently released preliminary traffic figures for November show growth in both international passenger and cargo markets. Year-to-date passengers increased by 31.4% compared to the same period in 2023 due to strong consumer and business demand.

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In November alone, the region's airlines carried 31.04 million passengers at a load factor of 82.0%, up from 25.92 million at 79.3% in November 2023. Available seat kilometers grew by 17.6%, while revenue passenger kilometers increased by 21.7% year-on-year.

From January to November 2024, passenger numbers reached 333.7 million with a load factor of 81.5%, compared to 253.9 million at 80.9% during the same period in the previous year.

AAPA Director General Subhas Menon noted that Asia-Pacific airlines have led growth in international travel markets this year due to strong demand for business and leisure travel: "Based on current trends, 2024 is anticipated to conclude on a positive note for both passenger and cargo markets." However, he acknowledged challenges such as global economic uncertainty and supply chain disruptions but expressed confidence that Asia-Pacific airlines are well-prepared to handle these issues while maintaining safety and service standards.

In air cargo markets, e-commerce growth and export orders ahead of expected US tariff increases contributed to a rise in demand measured by freight tonne kilometers—up by 10.5% year-on-year—slightly outpacing a 10% increase in offered freight capacity.

According to schedules analyzer OAG's weekly capacity update released in late December for the week commencing December 16th, overall weekly capacity grew by 4.7%. Of this increase of approximately 21.8 million seats globally since last year’s corresponding week; Asia-Pacific accounted for nearly half with an addition of around nine-point-eight-million seats—a five-point-five-percent rise over last year's figure—making it now responsible for thirty-nine percent of global seat capacity surpassing other regions like North America or Europe.

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