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Boeing forecasts rapid growth in India's aviation market over two decades

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Boeing forecasts rapid growth in India's aviation market over two decades
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William A. Ampofo II Chair, Supply Chain Operations Council Vice President, Parts & Distribution Services and Supply Chain, Boeing Global Services | Boeing

Boeing has released a forecast predicting significant growth in the commercial airplane fleet of India and South Asia over the next two decades. According to Boeing's Commercial Market Outlook (CMO), the fleet is expected to increase nearly four times by 2043, driven by rising demand and air traffic, which is anticipated to grow at an annual rate of over 7%. This growth is attributed to economic expansion, improved connectivity, and policies supporting air travel liberalization.

The CMO highlights that domestic air traffic will remain the largest and fastest-growing segment within India's travel market. The projected increase in traffic will be facilitated by low-cost carrier expansion and network diversification as airlines introduce more routes and destinations across the region.

Single-aisle airplanes like the 737 MAX are expected to dominate deliveries during this period, accounting for nearly 90% of new commercial jet deliveries. These aircraft will provide airlines with enhanced network flexibility and improved economics on short- and medium-haul routes. Additionally, the widebody fleet in the region is set to quadruple as carriers utilize models such as the 787 Dreamliner and 777X to expand long-haul networks, especially from India to North America.

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"The India and South Asia region continues to be the world’s fastest-growing commercial aviation market due to strong economic and trade growth, rising household incomes, and investments in infrastructure and development," stated Ashwin Naidu, Boeing managing director of Commercial Marketing for India and South Asia. "As our CMO shows, people will have greater access to air travel, and the region’s airlines will require a modern fuel-efficient fleet to meet increased demand over the next two decades."

Furthermore, Boeing's CMO projects that India's cargo freighter fleet will grow five-fold as it plays a larger role in global supply chains, advanced manufacturing, and e-commerce. The demand for pilots, cabin crew, and technicians is also expected to quadruple to 129,000 alongside this fleet expansion.

The global CMO can be accessed at https://www.boeing.com/commercial/market/commercial-market-outlook/

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