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Delta Air Lines cuts earnings forecast amid economic uncertainties

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Delta Air Lines cuts earnings forecast amid economic uncertainties
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Peter Carter Chief External Affairs Officer | Delta Air Lines

Delta Air Lines has halved its earnings forecast for 2025, citing macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions as key factors in the revision. Earlier this year, the company experienced a surge in share prices to post- pandemic highs, buoyed by strong financial performance in 2024 and optimistic projections from its leadership team. The reelection of former President Donald Trump had also contributed to increased confidence within the airline industry due to his economic policies.

In recent weeks, however, macroeconomic surprises have compelled Delta to adopt a more cautious stance on its market outlook for 2025. This shift has led to a significant sell-off of Delta shares, with valuations dropping approximately 5.5%. Aftermarket trading figures indicate a further decline of around 10.5%, suggesting imminent price drops when trading resumes on Tuesday morning.

In a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Delta Air Lines expressed concerns about changing consumer spending patterns amid economic uncertainties. The airline now anticipates year-on-year growth between 3% and 4%, down from an earlier estimate of between7% and9%. Initial earnings per share were expected to reach up to $1; however, revised estimates place them at $0.30 to $0.50 per share.

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"The outlook has been impacted by the recent reduction in consumer and corpo- rate confidence caused by increased macro uncertainty driving softness in do- mestic demand," said the SEC filing.

One major factor contributing to Delta's revised forecast is tariff plans in- troduced by Trump along with fears of a looming recession. On Sunday, Trump mentioned that the U.S. economy would soon enter a "transition period" but did not assure measures against preventing a recession.

For Delta specifically, potential challenges associated with an economic down- turn include reduced spending from business travelers and high-end leisure travelers--key demographics for their operations--as well as weakened demand on profitable routes such as long-haul services to Europe due to currency fluctuations.


Delta Air Lines Launches LaGuardia-Panama City Among20 Domestic Route Summer Expansion The Atlanta-based airline will launch a seasonal route between New York LaGuar- dia (LGA) and Panama City (ECP) on June14

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