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US-China and Tel Aviv-New York top list of busiest US airline routes by seat load

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US-China and Tel Aviv-New York top list of busiest US airline routes by seat load
Policy
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U.S. Transportation Secretary Sean P. Duffy | U.S. Transportation

In the year leading up to April 2025, US air routes saw an average seat load factor (SLF) of 83.1%, according to data from the US Department of Transportation. The analysis covered over 9,000 markets and focused on routes with more than 10,000 round-trip passengers.

Three routes between the US and China appeared among those with the highest SLFs. Capacity on these routes remains limited following COVID-19, which has contributed to higher occupancy rates. For example, the Guangzhou to New York JFK route had a SLF of 95.2% and was served by just one weekly China Southern Boeing 777-300ER flight, compared to as many as two daily flights in 2019.

The Tel Aviv-New York JFK route also experienced a high SLF of 95%. The ongoing war has kept capacity tight, raising both fares and passenger loads. Arkia entered this market in February 2025, and Israir received approval for US flights in July. Delta operated on this route until August 2024 and briefly returned in April 2025; it is scheduled to resume regular service from September.

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Other international routes with high SLFs included Xiamen-Los Angeles (96.7%, Xiamen Air), Doha-Dallas/Fort Worth (95.0%, Qatar Airways), Shanghai Pudong-New York JFK (94.4%, China Eastern), and Kraków-Chicago O'Hare (94.4%, LOT Polish).

On domestic routes, Dallas Love-Boston led with a SLF of 95%. Southwest Airlines first launched this connection in August 2015, but by May 2024-April 2025 offered only weekly or twice-weekly service—much less frequent than previous years' daily departures. Cirium Diio data shows that out of nearly 14,000 round-trip passengers transported during this period, most were connecting rather than local travelers.

Additional high-SLF domestic routes included Dallas/Fort Worth-Honolulu (94.6%, American Airlines), Baltimore-Aruba (94.6%, Southwest), and Charlotte-St Croix (94.3%, American Airlines).

Seat load factor measures how much available seating capacity is filled by passengers on a given route or network segment. While a high SLF can indicate strong demand or good performance, experts note that it does not guarantee profitability if achieved primarily through low-yield traffic or on long-haul sectors where costs are higher.

Hub carriers may continue operating some high-SLF but low-yielding routes because they feed connecting traffic into other parts of their networks—supporting overall viability even if individual route margins are thin.

The constrained capacity seen on several international markets is likely contributing to these elevated SLFs as airlines adjust schedules post-pandemic or due to geopolitical factors.

Organizations Included in this History
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