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IAG chief warns high costs could leave Heathrow's third runway underused

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IAG chief warns high costs could leave Heathrow's third runway underused
Policy
Webp gallego
Luis Gallego CEO of International Airlines Group | Official Website

International Airlines Group (IAG) CEO Luis Gallego has raised concerns that the planned third runway at London Heathrow Airport could remain underused due to the high costs that may be passed on to airlines and passengers. The estimated cost of developing the new runway is close to $28 billion, with overall infrastructure investments by Heathrow expected to reach $66 billion.

Heathrow’s third runway proposal, which has been under discussion for over twenty years, was formally submitted this week. The airport's plan includes a 3,500-meter runway and aims to increase annual passenger capacity to 150 million. Project costs have increased by 50% since a similar proposal in 2019, largely due to rising construction expenses. Heathrow expects to secure planning permission by 2029 and hopes the new runway will be operational by 2035.

Gallego warned that the current regulatory framework could lead to significant price increases for travelers. “With the current regulatory model, it is going to be very expensive for customers,” he said, adding there is a risk of the new runway being empty as a result.

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Currently, Heathrow charges about $33 per passenger as regulated by the UK Civil Aviation Authority (CAA). According to Gallego, this figure could double if expansion plans proceed as proposed. IAG owns British Airways—which operates about half of all flights at Heathrow—as well as Aer Lingus, Iberia, and Vueling.

British Airways CEO Sean Doyle also expressed concern over rising costs associated with the project. He stated: “Heathrow is already the world’s busiest airport, yet we’re looking at costs doubling from where they are today. It’s not just what passengers pay on their ticket but also the cost of every operator going in and out of Heathrow, regardless of landing fees. We’re concerned about the competitiveness and the value of money that we’re able to give customers.”

In response to criticism about higher charges, Heathrow maintains that expanding capacity will ultimately lower fares through increased competition and choice for consumers. Earlier this year, however, it faced backlash after proposing a 17% increase in landing fees.

Additional development plans include a $16 billion extension of Terminal 5—known as T5X—and $20 billion allocated for various modernization projects throughout the airport.

The expansion proposal continues to face opposition from local officials and environmental groups. London Mayor Sadiq Khan criticized the plan because of its potential impact on noise levels, air pollution, and climate change targets. In contrast, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer supports moving forward with construction by 2030.

There are competing proposals for how best to expand Heathrow’s capacity. Developer Arora Group has put forward an alternative plan featuring a shorter runway at lower cost.

Some industry stakeholders back Heathrow’s expansion efforts. easyJet CEO Kenton Jarvis said that growth would allow his airline “to operate from the airport at scale for the first time and bring with it lower fares for consumers.”

Heathrow overcame legal obstacles in 2020 when it won a UK Supreme Court case allowing expansion plans to proceed after earlier setbacks; progress was delayed during the COVID-19 pandemic.

London Heathrow remains British Airways’ primary hub alongside London Gatwick Airport. The carrier is part of IAG and belongs to the oneworld alliance.

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