Supply chain issues in the aerospace sector are expected to cost airlines more than $11 billion in 2025, according to a new report jointly released by the International Air Transport Association (IATA) and Oliver Wyman, a management consulting firm. The study, titled "Reviving the Commercial Aircraft Supply Chain," analyzes the underlying causes of current disruptions and the financial impact on airlines.
The report notes that delays in the production of new aircraft and parts have led airlines to adjust their fleet strategies, often resulting in the continued use of older aircraft. The global commercial aircraft backlog reached over 17,000 units in 2024, a significant increase from the average backlog of about 13,000 aircraft per year seen between 2010 and 2019.
Four primary factors are driving the projected $11 billion cost increase for airlines next year. These include higher fuel expenses as older, less efficient planes remain in service, increased maintenance costs due to aging fleets, a rise in engine leasing costs as engines spend more time under maintenance, and higher inventory costs as airlines stock more spare parts to buffer against unpredictable supply chain interruptions. Since 2019, lease rates for aircraft have increased by 20–30%.