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Future of quadjet airliners remains limited despite niche revivals

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Future of quadjet airliners remains limited despite niche revivals
Policy
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CEO Kelly Ortberg | Boeing

For decades, four-engine passenger aircraft like the Boeing 747, Airbus A340, and Airbus A380 were central to long-haul commercial aviation. These quadjets offered significant range, capacity, and safety redundancy at a time when regulations required more than two engines for flights over oceans or remote regions. They became symbols of prestige for airlines and played a key role in connecting global hubs.

However, the industry has shifted toward twin-engine aircraft due to advances in engine technology and regulatory changes such as ETOPS (Extended-range Twin-engine Operational Performance Standards). Modern twinjets like the Boeing 777, 787 Dreamliner, Airbus A350, and A330 are now preferred by airlines because they offer greater fuel efficiency, lower operating costs, and environmental benefits compared to their four-engine predecessors. As a result, production of quadjets has ended: Airbus stopped producing the A380 in 2021 and Boeing delivered its final 747 in 2023.

Despite this shift, there are circumstances where quadjets remain relevant. In Russia, geopolitical pressures have led to renewed interest in the Ilyushin Il-96—a widebody quadjet first flown in the late 1980s. Due to sanctions that restrict access to Western aircraft and parts, Russia is promoting the Il-96 as a domestically produced alternative. The Il-96 features four Aviadvigatel engines but lags behind modern jets in terms of efficiency and maintenance requirements. It is primarily used by government agencies or state-owned carriers within Russia.

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Another potential application for quadjets is emerging with new supersonic designs. Boom Supersonic’s Overture jet plans to use four engines instead of two or three. According to Boom Supersonic: "By splitting thrust across four smaller engines, Boom avoids the complexity and certification hurdles of building entirely new large supersonic powerplants." This configuration also helps manage noise levels—an important consideration for airport operations—and supports weight distribution for improved aerodynamics.

There is also speculation about whether cheaper sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) could make large quadjets viable again on dense long-haul routes. SAF currently costs three to five times more than conventional jet fuel but offers up to 70–80% lower lifecycle CO₂ emissions depending on production methods. If SAF becomes widely available at a lower price point globally (https://www.energy.gov/eere/bioenergy/sustainable-aviation-fuel), it could reduce one of the main disadvantages of operating large four-engine jets: high fuel consumption.

Still, other challenges remain beyond fuel prices—quadjets require more complex maintenance procedures and many airports lack facilities suited for very large aircraft. Airlines generally prefer smaller twin-engine planes that allow them greater flexibility with route planning and frequency.

In summary, while a widespread return of quad-engine passenger aircraft appears unlikely given current economic and regulatory trends, certain niche roles may persist due to specific operational needs or technological innovations. As stated by Boom Supersonic: "The Overture’s use of four engines highlights how design requirements can still justify a return to multi-engine layouts under special circumstances."

Quadjets may continue serving specialized purposes such as heavy-lift cargo transport or government operations where alternatives are limited by politics or infrastructure constraints—but their dominance over mainstream commercial air travel seems unlikely to return.

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