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United Airlines reports strong Q3 earnings driven by premium traffic growth

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United Airlines reports strong Q3 earnings driven by premium traffic growth
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Scott Kirby, chief executive officer | United Airlines

United Airlines has reported its third-quarter earnings, surpassing Wall Street expectations. The company announced diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.90 and adjusted EPS of $2.78, which were at the higher end of its guidance. Revenue increased by 2.6% compared to the previous year, reaching $15.2 billion. Pre-tax earnings stood at $1.3 billion, with an 8.2% margin.

The airline provided guidance for higher earnings in the fourth quarter, projecting EPS in the range of $3.00 to $3.50. Management anticipates a significant year-over-year improvement in unit revenues over the third quarter. Premium cabin revenues grew by approximately 6%, while economy fare revenue rose by 4%. Cargo revenues increased by 3%, and loyalty revenues saw a notable 9% rise. United also reported strong operational performance, operating its largest summer mainline schedule and achieving its lowest third-quarter cancellation rate on record.

Delta Air Lines recently reported its own third-quarter results, which also exceeded analyst expectations. Delta highlighted strong premium cabin revenue growth and robust performance from its loyalty program, though it noted higher fuel prices across the industry and some weakness in Main Cabin performance. Delta’s fuel price risk was mitigated by its own refinery operations.

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United’s results appear to have addressed concerns raised after Delta’s report. Both premium and main cabin traffic remained strong for United, with premium travel demand extending into September and October, providing additional revenue opportunities for airlines.

For the third quarter, United reported adjusted EPS of $2.78, above the consensus estimate of $2.62. Revenue came in at $15.23 billion, slightly below the consensus estimate of $15.33 billion.

United’s focus on premium travelers has contributed to its financial results, as demand for long-haul premium flights and domestic main cabin capacity continues to grow. The airline has not faced significant operational or fuel cost issues this quarter.

Despite positive earnings and guidance, United’s slight revenue miss has led to mixed reactions from investors. The company’s leadership, including CEO Scott Kirby, is expected to address these results further during an upcoming conference call.

"If the airline's revenue miss is easily explainable, investor confidence will likely remain strong. However, if this lower revenue figure is emblematic of some kind of structural or competitive weakness, the airline could see stock prices fall."

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