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United Airlines stock drops after revenue miss despite beating quarterly earnings

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United Airlines stock drops after revenue miss despite beating quarterly earnings
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Scott Kirby, chief executive officer | United Airlines

United Airlines reported third-quarter earnings that exceeded analyst expectations, driven by strong growth in premium services and increased international travel demand. The airline's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) surpassed Wall Street's consensus. However, the company missed revenue forecasts for the third consecutive quarter.

Following the earnings announcement, United Airlines shares experienced a significant decline, dropping from around $104 to as low as $94.75 during intraday trading before closing down about 5%. This sharp decrease surprised many observers given the company's earnings beat.

Despite management guiding fourth-quarter EPS above analyst estimates and emphasizing strength in premium markets and loyalty programs, investors were concerned by several factors discussed during the earnings call. These included rising costs expected in the fourth quarter, operational constraints at Newark airport exacerbated by a government shutdown, and plans to increase spending on customer experience initiatives.

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The combination of missing revenue targets, declining unit revenues year-over-year, and higher near-term expenses contributed to investor unease. As a result, many chose to sell their shares despite positive headlines about projected record fourth-quarter revenues.

This situation is seen as an example of "sell-the-news," where investor sentiment is influenced more by company commentary than direct financial results. Comments from United's leadership regarding cost pressures and operational challenges appeared to outweigh optimism about premium market performance.

Analysts had previously rated United Airlines highly due to its focus on premium customers and operational efficiency. However, concerns are growing about the airline's costly expansion efforts and continued reliance on its Newark hub, which has faced ongoing operational difficulties.

Investor confidence has been affected by these developments, even though United expects higher short-term profits. Other U.S. airline stocks also declined on the same day, including Delta Air Lines.

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