Quantcast

Embraer forecasts demand for over ten thousand small commercial aircraft by 2043

Riyadh Air plans new jet order decision early next year
LA Considers $25 And $30 Minimum Wages For Hotel And Airport Workers
Airlines are on the hook for more than you think if something goes wrong with your trip
WA Labor & Industries plans to create new airline worker protections
Airlines must now give automatic refunds for significant delays. Here's what to know.
American Airlines Technical Operations, Fleet Service, Cargo and Central Load Planning team members ratify new agreement
Spirit Airlines Pursues Bankruptcy as a Path to Tie-Up With Frontier
American Airlines fined $50M for violating disability laws
Canada's flight attendant union applauds NDP bill to end unpaid work in the airline sector
American Airlines testing new technology that would crack down on boarding
Exciting New Airline Routes Coming to North
Another city ignores airport commission's advice, zones for housing near JWA
United shares hit pre-pandemic high after airline forecasts strong finish to 2024, plans buyback
Alaska Airlines Just Made Its Loyalty Program Even More Lucrative With New Rewards, Better Upgrades, and More
Food safety problem closes Detroit airline kitchen leaving 200 flights without meals
5 Reasons Why Kazakhstan's Air Astana Is Establishing Itself As A Key Player In Asian Aviation
JetBlue is no longer serving hot food in economy class on transatlantic flights
Video shows traveler hurl computer monitor at Frontier employees in Chicago
White House 'in touch' with airlines as hurricanes Helene, Milton spark price-gouging fears
Airline bans two items from luggage amid conflict in the Middle East
Turkish Airlines pilot dies midflight, leading to emergency landing in New York
Spirit Airlines Explores Bankruptcy Filing
Airlines turn to AI to allocate gates and cut waiting times
American Airlines Passengers Save Woman from Alleged Violent Male Companion on Flight
Garuda Indonesia and Japan Airlines (JAL) Form Joint Business Agreement — What To Know
Here's how Southwest Airlines' new seating and boarding process will work
Delta Adds New Route to Asia
Southwest Airlines will begin selling assigned seats in 2025
United Airlines Pilot Buys Passengers Pizza In Albuquerque After Flight Was Delayed 7 Hours
Czech Airlines to Cease Operations, Ending 23-Year SkyTeam Partnership
Embraer forecasts demand for over ten thousand small commercial aircraft by 2043
Research
Webp qj5munmfs624bdp2bm4w8syr8zw8
Joe Petrie Editor & Chief | AviationPros

Embraer has published Market Outlook 2024, its 20-year forecast for commercial aircraft deliveries in the sub-150-seat category. The report was presented at a press briefing during the Farnborough International Airshow.

Market Outlook 2024 estimates 10,500 orders for new jets and turboprops through 2043. It also presents analyses of global influences and trends in six world regions that impact the demand for new aircraft.

The relevance of the small narrowbody category is increasing. Larger aircraft are not always economically or operationally optimal for medium and lower-density markets, particularly when multiple daily frequencies are essential for those cities to stay well-connected. Fleets with these aircraft benefit when complemented by smaller narrowbodies in the sub-150-seat segment. Small narrowbodies go where bigger jets cannot, do so more frequently, and usually more profitably. As the average aircraft size in key world regions increases, a reflection of the strong orderbook for 200-seat narrowbodies, it becomes clear that a mixed fleet of small and large narrowbodies is the best way to serve the diverse characteristics of an airline network.

Get the Newsletter
Sign-up to receive weekly round up of news from Sky Industry News
By submitting, you agree to our Privacy Policy and Terms of Service. By providing your phone number you are opting in and consenting to receive recurring SMS/MMS messages, including automated texts, to that number from our short code. Msg & data rates may apply. Reply HELP for help, STOP to end. SMS opt-in will not be sold, rented, or shared.

Arjan Meijer, Embraer’s President & CEO of Commercial Aviation, said, “A mix fleet of sub-150-seat jets and larger narrowbodies will be the successful fleet strategy for the next 20 years. The post-pandemic environment is different in so many ways. The business/leisure passenger mix is different. Demand patterns are different. The corporate workplace is different. And e-commerce is booming. Carriers are adding capacity in big markets, yet smaller cities still need to stay well-connected to airline networks with high frequency air service. We believe aircraft in the sub-150-seat category are the most efficient and cost-effective to address that need.”

The Market Outlook also contains analysis of the cargo aircraft market and cites new opportunities for small-narrowbody freighters resulting from the projected growth in online commerce.

Highlights of the 20-Year Commercial Market Outlook – By the Numbers

World passenger traffic, measured in revenue passenger kilometers (RPKs), has returned to 2019 levels except for the Asia Pacific/China region. RPKs are forecast to grow 4% annually through 2043.

Annual RPK regional growth rate – ranked

5.0% Asia Pacific (includes China)

4.9% Latin America

4.4% Africa

4.4% Middle East

3.3% Europe

2.4% North America

RPK share by the end of 2043

38% Asia Pacific

38% Europe + North America

Global demand for new aircraft up to 150 seats

10,500 units

8,470 jets

2,030 turboprops

Market value of all new aircraft

USD 640 billion

Jet deliveries - 8,470 (% share) – by region

2,610 North America (30.8%)

2,260 China & Asia Pacific (26.7%)

2,110 Europe & CIS (24.9%)

770 Latin America (9.1%)

380 Africa (4.5%)

340 Middle East (4%)

Turboprop deliveries - 2,030 (% share) – by region

980 China & Asia Pacific (48.3%)

350 North America (17.2%)

290 Europe & CIS (14.3%)

220 Africa (10.8%)

160 Latin America (7.9%)

30 Middle East (1.5%)

Download the complete Embraer 2024 Market Outlook at www .embraercommercialaviation.com/marketoutlook  

Organizations Included in this History
More News

London Heathrow, recognized as Europe's busiest airport, will soon experience an increase in its flight offerings by Oman Air.

Sep 2, 2025

Minneapolis–St. Paul International Airport will commence safety and airfield improvement projects on Runway 12R-30L in two distinct phases throughout 2025.

Aug 22, 2025

Delta Air Lines is adjusting its service between Atlanta and Anchorage, extending flights beyond the summer travel season to a year-round offering.

May 15, 2025

EVA Air has announced a promotional offer for its Infinity MileageLands members, providing up to 40% bonus miles for those who purchase or top up miles between April 15 and April 30, 2025.

Apr 17, 2025

Flying Food Group has announced its ongoing commitment to community support and development through various initiatives aimed at empowering children and families in East Granby, Connecticut.

Apr 17, 2025

Flying Food Group recently participated in the WTCE Conference in Hamburg, Germany, from April 8th to 10th, 2025.

Apr 17, 2025