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Airlines warn passengers about potential fare increases due to sustainable fuel transition

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Airlines warn passengers about potential fare increases due to sustainable fuel transition
Policy
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Air France | Wikipedia

Growth in the aviation industry is increasing post-pandemic, placing pressure on airlines to reduce carbon emissions and transition to Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF). This shift may result in higher passenger ticket costs, potentially reducing demand for air travel. Airlines worldwide are committed to achieving net-zero emissions by 2050 through research and new green technologies. The aviation sector contributes up to 3% of global carbon emissions, a figure expected to rise with increased air travel demand.

Key strategies include using SAF produced from renewable resources like waste oils and biomass, which can reduce emissions by up to 80% compared to traditional jet fuel. While climate summits have seen airlines pledge towards net-zero emissions and new aircraft technologies, fully developed hydrogen or electric passenger aircraft remain years away. Improvements in air traffic management could also reduce carbon emissions but at significant costs that might impact consumers.

The cost of SAF production is currently up to five times more expensive than traditional jet fuel, with its use in commercial aviation hovering around just 0.2%. Increased SAF production could stimulate job creation and investment in agriculture and waste management while providing environmental benefits such as reduced greenhouse gas emissions and improved air quality.

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Major airlines like Air France, KLM, Delta Air Lines, and Lufthansa have invested heavily in SAF research without major government subsidies. Emirates has conducted demonstration flights with 100% SAF and blends conventional fuel by up to 50%. Emirates' president Tim Clarke states: "If we’re to meet these environmental targets, the economics of flying must change. That means fares will rise; there’s no way around it."

Education about the benefits of using SAF is essential for travelers. Airlines are encouraged to communicate these benefits and offer voluntary carbon offset programs while lobbying governments for policy support. Several regions have blending mandates that require a minimum percentage of SAF mixed with traditional jet fuel.

Government contributions are crucial for the success of SAF initiatives. Some regions already have blending mandates boosting interest in SAF production, requiring further funding for cheaper production methods.

As sustainable aviation fuels become more prevalent, passenger airfares may increase by up to 15% by 2030. Budget airlines might introduce a 'green fee' during booking processes as they balance rising costs with maintaining affordable fares.

Some governments have implemented strict regimes encouraging alternative transport options over domestic flights when possible—such as France's legislation limiting short-distance air travel if trains are available within two-and-a-half hours.

Achieving net-zero emission targets depends on multiple factors including technological advancements ensuring low-carbon flying becomes affordable alongside government policies incentivizing SAF production—posing challenges especially among budget carriers relying on thin margins from conventional fuels yet striving towards sustainability goals amid evolving industry dynamics driven largely through environmental imperatives shaping future landscapes across global skies alike

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